3gimei

IMEI (approx) [9]

Week#

Sequence

Start

End

Serial

Who

When

Model

Notes

Days to ship

Note: These are production estimates, not sales estimates, and as such include Apple Retail Store inventory, store display, and replacement units which would not count as sales. [1]


.	1177100221750	40	9,221,750	9/29/2008	10/5/2008	82840	IBO	10/16/2008			17
.	1177100710020	45	9,710,020	11/3/2008	11/9/2008	87845	$Billyall	12/21/2008	16 black	Atlanta ATT store	48
.	1177200288180	2	10,288,180	1/5/2009	1/11/2009	84902	boxerconan	2/3/2009	8 black	Brandon FL ATT store	29
.	1177200382470	45	10,382,470	11/3/2008	11/9/2008	88845	$Billyall	12/18/2008	16 black	Atlanta ATT store	45
.	1177200490510	50	10,490,510	12/8/2008	12/14/2008	88850	boxerconan		WMT disp
.	1177200588500	41	10,588,500	10/6/2008	10/12/2008	87841	BillH	11/6/2008		Santa Fe, NM ATT store	31
.	1177200795820	41	10,795,820	10/6/2008	10/12/2008	87841	Hamourabi	11/5/2008	rplcmt	Replacement - Apple Care Europe	30
.	1177200983470	42	10,983,470	10/13/2008	10/19/2008	88842	andyzaky	11/16/2008	16 black		34
.	1177300049950	41	11,049,950	10/6/2008	10/12/2008	84841	organicandnoworms	12/23/2008	16 black		78
.	1177300200050	49	11,200,050	12/1/2008	12/7/2008	87849	vpupo		WMT disp
.	1177300271110	50	11,271,110	12/8/2008	12/14/2008	88850	vpupo		WMT disp
.	1177300404320	49	11,404,320	12/1/2008	12/7/2008	87849	boxerconan		WMT disp
.	1177300420790	43	11,420,790	10/20/2008	10/26/2008	88843	bruyerefrere	12/27/2008	16 black	Media Markt in Brussels, Belgium	68
.	1177300500000 [2]	43	11,500,000	10/20/2008	10/26/2008	private	Cheddarmuff	11/22/2008		ATT store	33
.	1177300890570	46	11,890,570	11/10/2008	11/16/2008	87846	TechDude15	11/20/2008	rplcmt		10
.	1177400356580	41	12,356,580	10/6/2008	10/12/2008	88841	Cheddarmuff	12/23/2008			78


.	1177400356580	42	12,356,580	10/13/2008	10/19/2008	83842	TechDude15	11/7/2008	rplcmt		25
.	1177400432850	44	12,432,850	10/27/2008	11/2/2008	84844	oldmac	11/29/2008		ATT store in Greater Boston	33
.	1177400500560	41	12,500,560	10/6/2008	10/12/2008	86841	deagol	11/20/2008	16 black	Movistar Caracas, Venezuela	45
.	1177400592920	49	12,592,920	12/1/2008	12/7/2008	88849	Cheddarmuff		WMT disp
.	1177400772860	48	12,772,860	11/24/2008	11/30/2008	88848			16 black
.	1177400888300	47	12,888,300	11/17/2008	11/23/2008	87847	Johnnymg	12/12/2008	16 black	CA	25
.	1177400986280	50	12,986,280	12/8/2008	12/14/2008	88850	Cheddarmuff		WMT disp			http://www.macobserver.com/tmo/forums/viewthread/69155/ [3]
.	1177500256420	41	13,256,420	10/6/2008	10/12/2008	87841	andyzaky	11/18/2008	8 black		43
.	1177500267100	40	13,267,100	9/29/2008	10/5/2008	88840	BillH	11/6/2008		Santa Fe, NM ATT store	38
.	1177500308660	41	13,308,660	10/6/2008	10/12/2008	87841	bruyerefrere	12/27/2008	16 white	Media Markt in Brussels, Belgium	82
.	1177500328100	47	13,328,100	11/17/2008	11/23/2008	87847	sillyme	12/26/2008	16		39
.	1177500470430	4	13,470,430	1/19/2009	1/25/2009	88904	mbmullin	2/25/2009			37
.	1177500694360	43	13,694,360	10/20/2008	10/26/2008	88843	bruyerefrere	12/27/2008	16 black	Media Markt in Brussels, Belgium	68
.	1177500926000	43	13,926,000	10/20/2008	10/26/2008	5k843	Lord Farkward	11/11/2008	rplcmt	Replaced by Hong Kong 3 network	22
.	1177600043800	41	14,043,800	10/6/2008	10/12/2008	88841	pats	12/26/2008	16 black	Detroit Mi, Partridge Creek Mall Store	81
.	1177600167960	45	14,167,960	11/3/2008	11/9/2008	5k845	Lord Farkward	11/28/2008	16 white	Replaced by Hong Kong 3 network	25
.	1177600190680	40	14,190,680	9/29/2008	10/5/2008	88840	andyzaky	10/4/2008	8 black	Costa Mesa Apple store	5
.	1177600271760	50	14,271,760	12/8/2008	12/14/2008	86850	artman1033		WMT disp
.	1177600374490	41	14,374,490	10/6/2008	10/12/2008	86841	deagol	12/23/2008	16 black	Movistar Caracas, Venezuela	78
.	1177600417940	44	14,417,940	10/27/2008	11/2/2008	87844	cabbie	12/1/2008	16 black	U.S. Apple Store	35	http://www1.investorvillage.com/groups.asp?mb=13977


.	1177600646980	41	14,646,980	10/6/2008	10/12/2008	86841	deagol	10/20/2008	16 black	Movistar Caracas, Venezuela	14
.	1177600789060	42	14,789,060	10/13/2008	10/19/2008	88842	awcabot	12/23/2008	16 white	Vodafone store, Rome, IT	71
.	1177600834700	41	14,834,700	10/6/2008	10/12/2008	85841	sensiblethoughts	10/20/2008			14
.	1177600859900	42	14,859,900	10/13/2008	10/19/2008	88842			16 black
.	1177600940000	40	14,940,000	9/29/2008	10/5/2008	83840	IBO	10/23/2008	8 black		24	38.65
.	1177600997640	49	14,997,640	12/1/2008	12/7/2008	87849	artman1033		WMT disp
.	1180900079490	7	15,079,490	2/9/2009	2/15/2009	87907	pats	3/11/2009			30
.	1181000781330	4	16,781,330	1/19/2009	1/25/2009	88904	turleymuller	3/15/2009			55
.	1181300575870	13	19,575,870	3/23/2009	3/29/2009	87913	boxerconan	5/2/2009	8 black	Brandon FL	40	41.67
.			306,640


.						Count	Week	Run rate (MM/year)	Inventory Days	Max	Avg
.	Week 47 min.	0	times 52	0	(yr. rate)		47	19.95	32.00	599,120	383,657
.	Week 48 min.		times 52	0	(yr. rate)		48	8.90		295,380	171,223
.	Week 49 min.	0	times 52	0	(yr. rate)	4	49	18.64		700,780	358,511	1.50	1.63
.	Week 50 min.	0	times 52	0	(yr. rate)	4	50	18.64		962,230	358,511	1.50	1.63
.						0	51	12.47			239,751	1.00	1.63
.						0	52	12.47			239,751	1.00	1.63


.							0	1	12.47			239,751	1.00	1.63
.							1	2	22.33	29.00	672,450	429,357	1.19	2.45
.							0	3	12.47			239,751	1.00	1.63
.							2	4	24.88	30.00	1,701,840	478,428	1.32	2.47
.							0	5	12.47			239,751	1.00	1.63
.	Weeks 26-29	1,958,835	Ave/Wk	489,709	times 52	25,464,855	0	6	12.47			239,751	1.00	1.63
.	Weeks 30-33	2,677,175	Ave/Wk	669,294	times 52	34,803,275	1	7	25.58	55.00	1,783,690	491,860	1.19	2.81
.	Weeks 34-37	2,888,080	Ave/Wk	722,020	times 52	37,545,040	0	8	12.47			239,751	1.00	1.63
.	Weeks 38-41	1,923,639	Ave/Wk	480,910	times 52	25,007,312	0	9	12.47			239,751	1.00	1.63
.	Weeks 42-45	1,881,313	Ave/Wk	470,328	times 52	24,457,063	0	10	12.47			239,751	1.00	1.63
.	Weeks 46-49	1,153,272	Ave/Wk	288,318	times 52	14,992,538	0	11	12.47			239,751	1.00	1.63
.	Weeks 50-01	1,077,764	Ave/Wk	269,441	times 52	14,010,937	0	12	12.47			239,751	1.00	1.63
.	Weeks 02-05	1,387,288	Ave/Wk	346,822	times 52	18,034,738	1	13	23.87	40.00	2,794,540	458,953	1.19	2.62
.	Weeks 06-09	1,211,113	Ave/Wk	302,778	times 52	15,744,466	25% [4]	2.08		25% [5]		17,736,029
.	Weeks 10-13	1,178,206	Ave/Wk	294,551	times 52	15,316,673	13					-1,839,841
.
.	Projections	Week#	Estimate	Our best	Actual sold


.	10/6-10/12	41	9,847,074
.	10/13-10/19	42	10,360,345
.	10/20-10/26	43	10,890,286
.	10/27-11/2	44	11,281,305
.	11/3-11/9	45	11,728,387
.	11/10-11/16	46	11,968,267	4,363,000 [6]
.	11/17-11/23	47	12,351,925	6%
.	11/24-11/30	48	12,523,148
.	12/1-12/7	49	12,881,659
.	12/8-12/14	50	13,240,170
.	12/15-12/21	51	13,479,921
.	12/22-12/28 [7]	52	13,719,672	2,464,672
.	12/29-1/4	1	13,959,423	51.41
.	1/5-1/11	2	14,388,781
.	1/12-1/18	3	14,628,532


.	1/19-1/25	4	15,106,960
.	1/26-2/1	5	15,346,711
.	2/2-2/8	6	15,586,462
.	2/9-2/15	7	16,078,322	3,793,000 [8]
.	2/16-2/22	8	16,318,073	8%
.	2/23-3/1	9	16,557,824
.	3/2-3/8	10	16,797,575
.	3/9-3/15	11	17,037,326
.	3/16-3/22	12	17,277,077
.	3/23-3/29	13	17,736,029	2,688,029
.				64.49

[1] Q1 reported sales and inventory levels suggest Apple may have planned to produce up to 6M units from the beginning, and so reserved all 6 TACs and used IMEIs at random from that pool. --deagol Wednesday, February 04, 2009 4:32:19 AM Q4 reported sales suggest there's no skipping. --deagol Thursday, October 23, 2008 5:41:56 AM Also, there's no way to tell if Apple (or rather its contract manufacturer) is skipping any imei numbers --deagol Saturday, October 04, 2008 4:59:53 PM
[2] Sequence number asked to remain private --deagol Sunday, December 14, 2008 1:23:09 PM
[3] Please contribute here --deagol Wednesday, December 03, 2008 12:46:36 PM
[4] Using this percentage of the frequency (weekly submission counts) data --deagol Sunday, January 04, 2009 2:42:34 PM
[5] Using this percentage of the inventory days data --deagol Sunday, January 04, 2009 2:44:22 PM
[6] Assuming the last 6 weeks of production go towards the next quarter's sales --deagol Sunday, January 04, 2009 2:41:46 PM
[7] Q1 ends 12/27 (inclusive) --deagol Sunday, October 05, 2008 7:06:45 AM
[8] Assuming the last 6 weeks of production go towards the next quarter's sales --deagol Wednesday, March 25, 2009 11:17:34 PM
[9] Last digit zeroed out for privacy. --deagol Tuesday, October 07, 2008 10:24:04 AM