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Microsoft Online Business

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Analysis by:

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Silicon Alley Insider

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GOOGLE FREE CASH FLOW20072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026202720282029203020312032

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Free Cash Flow$3,000$3,300$3,630$3,993$4,392$4,832$5,315$5,846$6,431$7,074$7,781$8,559$9,415$10,357$11,392$12,532$13,785$15,163$16,680$18,348$20,182$22,201$24,421$26,863$29,549$32,504

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Growth10%10%10%10%10%10%10%10%10%10%10%10%10%10%10%10%10%10%10%10%10%10%10%10%10%

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Market Cap At Following FCF Multiple:

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30$90,000$99,000$108,900$119,790$131,769$144,946$159,440$175,385$192,923$212,215$233,437$256,781$282,459$310,704$341,775$375,952$413,548$454,902$500,393$550,432$605,475$666,022$732,625$805,887$886,476$975,124

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40$120,000$132,000$145,200$159,720$175,692$193,261$212,587$233,846$257,231$282,954$311,249$342,374$376,611$414,273$455,700$501,270$551,397$606,536$667,190$733,909$807,300$888,030$976,833$1,074,516$1,181,968$1,300,165

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50$150,000$165,000$181,500$199,650$219,615$241,577$265,734$292,308$321,538$353,692$389,061$427,968$470,764$517,841$569,625$626,587$689,246$758,171$833,988$917,386$1,009,125$1,110,037$1,221,041$1,343,145$1,477,460$1,625,206

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Share Count325328332335338342345348352355359363366370374377381385389393397401405409413417

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Increase1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%

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Price Per Share (40X)$369$402$438$477$519$566$616$671$731$796$867$944$1,028$1,120$1,220$1,329$1,447$1,576$1,716$1,869$2,036$2,217$2,415$2,630$2,864$3,119

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RETURN:

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Today's Price$600

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2027 Price$2,036

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Return6%

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Analysis by:

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Silicon Alley Insider

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Red = Estimate

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*Includes publishing revenue for the public companies listed here.

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Source: Company Filings, Silicon Alley Insider estimates.