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. | 1 | 100 | NA | | 100 | NA | | 100 | NA |
. | 2 | 90 | -10 | | 110 | 10 | | 120 | 20 |
. | 3 | 100 | 11.1111111111111 | | 97.7777777777778 | -11.1111111111111 | | 93.3333333333333 | -22.2222222222222 |
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. | | A hyopothethitical Index | | | A hypothetical Inverse ETF | | | A hypothetical Double Inv ETF | |
. | | Starts at 100 | | | Starts at 100 | | | Starts at 100 | |
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. | | | | | yes | | | | |
. | | Note that the index ends up unchanged but that the inverse and double inverse | ETFs both end up down. This is because the same percentage mulitiplied by | a higher number makes it go down more | | | | | |
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. | | Note if the index first went up to 110 and then back to 100 | The inverse ETFs would also end below 100 | This is because going from 110 back to 100 is a drop of 9.09% | Not 10%. 100 to 90 and then (1.0909 x 90)only equals 98.2... so you lose | 1.8 even though the index goes back to 100 | | | |
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. | | MORE volatility = poorer inverse ETF performance | More unidirectional = better ETF performance | | | | | | |
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. | | This means in a strongly trending down market going long inverse ETFs can make sense | In a choppy, volatile market it may be beneficial to short the inverse ETFs | Certainly, when the market is deeply oversold, the inv ETFs (esp double) has run a lot, shortin the inverse ETFs can be the winning way to go here when short squeezes in the index occur | | | | | |