Slovak Public Opinion Polling Data, 2002 to present


.		Most recent data (since 2006 election)
.		Date	6/16/2006	7/1/2006	8/1/2006	9/1/2006	10/2/2006	11/2/2006	12/3/2006	1/3/2007	2/3/2007	3/6/2007	4/6/2007	5/7/2007	6/7/2007	7/8/2007	8/8/2007	9/8/2007	10/9/2007	11/9/2007	12/10/2007
.	Vote Share
.		# of Polls in Average	Election	2	1	2	3	2	2	1	2	2	2	2	2	1	1	1	2	2	3
.		Smer	29.1	33.6	41.5	36.9	38.9	39.3	38.1	47.7	41.5	39.8	39.9	41	37.7	43	41.3	39.1	36.7	37	40
.		SDKU	18.4	16.8	13	13.5	13.7	13.2	14.1	10.7	12.2	15	13.2	14.8	14.5	11.3	12.8	12.3	15	16.1	14.3
.		SNS	11.7	13.7	11.3	12.7	12.4	10.6	11.2	11.8	11.3	11.9	12	11.9	13.4	12.4	11.7	13.1	12.6	12.9	11.7
.		SMK	11.7	10.9	10.7	10.3	10.5	11.3	10	9.1	10.4	9.8	9.7	9	9	8.7	10.4	9.5	9	9.1	9.7
.		HZDS	8.8	9.4	10.4	10	8.9	8.9	10.3	9.6	9.8	9.2	9.9	8.8	9.4	9.6	9.3	12.3	10.7	9.3	8
.		KDH	8.3	7.4	7.3	8.4	8	7.7	8.5	7.3	7.5	8	9	7.7	9.1	11	7.9	9.6	9.4	8.6	8.8
.		KSS	3.9	2.7	1.2	2.7	2.4	3.1	3	1.9	2.8	2.2	2.5	3.5	2.5	1.8	2.4	1.5	2.9	3.4	2.9
.		SF	3.5	3.2	2.4	3	2.2	2.3	2.3	0.5	1.9	1.6	1.6	1.5	1	0.4	1	0.5	1.7	1.2	1.4
.		HZD	0.6	1.2	1	1	1	1.8	1.7	0.6	1.6	1.4	1.2	0.8	1.8	1.5	0.9	1.7	1.2	1.4	1.2
.		ANO	1.4	1.5	0.9	1.6	1	0.3	0.6	0.4	0.8	1.2	0.7	0.9	0.9	0.1	0.4	0.4	0.5	0.8	0.7
.		Other	2.6	0.5	0.3	0.5	1.5	1.8	0.5	0.4	0.4	0.2	0.6	0.5	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.8
.
.	Seats		38884	38899	38930	38961	38992	39023	39054	39085	39116	39147	39178	39209	39240	39271	39302	39333	39364	39395	39426
.		Smer	50	55	66	61	63	65	62	75	67	64	64	66	61	67	67	61	59	60	65
.		SDKU	31	28	21	22	22	22	23	17	20	24	21	24	23	18	20	19	24	26	23
.		SNS	20	22	18	21	20	17	18	18	18	19	19	19	22	19	19	21	20	21	19


.		SMK	20	18	17	17	17	19	16	14	17	15	16	15	14	14	17	15	15	14	16
.		HZDS	15	15	16	16	15	15	17	15	16	15	16	14	15	15	15	19	17	15	13
.		KDH	14	12	12	13	13	12	14	11	12	13	14	12	15	17	12	15	15	14	14
.		KSS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
.		SF	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
.		HZD	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
.		ANO	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
.
.	Trendlines, measured as average percentage point increase or decrease during the indicated period using UVVM data
.		Three Month	16-Jun-2006	1-Jul-2006	1-Aug-2006	1-Sep-2006	2-Oct-2006	2-Nov-2006	3-Dec-2006	3-Jan-2007	3-Feb-2007	6-Mar-2007	6-Apr-2007	7-May-2007	7-Jun-2007	8-Jul-2007	8-Aug-2007	8-Sep-2007	9-Oct-2007	9-Nov-2007	10-Dec-2007
.		Smer	-1.3	0.6	4.5	3.4	2.3	0.5	0.6	1.3	2	0.8	-1.6	-1.8	-1.5	-0.1	0.6	-0.5	-1.3	-0.2	1
.		SDKU	2.2	1.6	-0.7	-2	-1.3	-0.1	0.2	-0.2	-0.8	0.5	0.4	0.2	-0.6	0	-0.6	0.2	1	1.5	1
.		SNS	0.9	1.1	0.3	-0.1	-0.1	-0.5	-0.6	0.1	0.5	0	0.4	0.6	0.4	-0.1	0.2	0.1	-0.2	-0.4
.		SMK	0.2	-0.3	-0.1	-0.1	0.1	0.2	-0.2	-0.4	-0.5	0	0.3	0.3	0.3	-0.5	-0.2	0	-0.4	-0.2	-0.4
.		HZDS	-1.2	-0.3	-0.3	0.8	0.3	-0.2	-0.2	-0.3	-0.1	-0.2	0.2	0	-0.1	-0.3	0	0.8	1	-0.3	-0.6
.		KDH	-0.4	-0.7	-0.5	-0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	-0.2	-0.4	-0.6	0.5	0.5	0.7	0.8	0.4	-0.2	-0.5	-0.7	-0.8
.		KSS	0.3	-0.3	-1.2	-0.8	-0.3	0.5	0.4	0.1	-0.3	-0.2	-0.2	0.4	0.3	0	-0.2	0	0.1	0.3	0.2
.		SF	-0.9	-1	-0.6	-0.4	-0.4	-0.3	-0.2	-0.3	-0.1	-0.3	-0.1	-0.2	0	-0.1	0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.2
.		HZD	0	-0.1	-0.2	0.1	-0.1	0.1	0.1	-0.1	-0.2	0	0	-0.1	0.2	0.3	0	0	-0.2	-0.3	-0.3
.		Twelve Month	16-Jun-2006	1-Jul-2006	1-Aug-2006	1-Sep-2006	2-Oct-2006	2-Nov-2006	3-Dec-2006	3-Jan-2007	3-Feb-2007	6-Mar-2007	6-Apr-2007	7-May-2007	7-Jun-2007	8-Jul-2007	8-Aug-2007	8-Sep-2007	9-Oct-2007	9-Nov-2007	10-Dec-2007


.		Smer	-0.6	-0.6	0.2	1.2	2.4	3	3.5	5.2	5.9	6.1	5.4	4.3	2.8	1.2	0.2	-0.6	-1.4	-1.4	-0.9
.		SDKU	1.8	2.1	2.4	1.9	1.5	1.1	0.5	0	-0.5	-0.4	-1	-1.2	-1.3	-0.7	-0.5	-0.2	0.4	0.8	0.8
.		SNS	0.4	1	1.4	1.8	2.1	2.1	2	1.5	0.8	0.4	0.4	0.2	0.2	0.3	0.6	0.7	0.7	0.7	0.5
.		SMK	0	-0.3	-0.3	-0.4	-0.3	0	0.1	-0.2	-0.3	-0.5	-0.4	-0.3	-0.3	-0.2	-0.3	-0.2	-0.6	-0.7	-0.8
.		HZDS	-0.4	-0.4	-0.6	-0.6	-0.7	-0.8	-0.8	-0.8	-0.8	-0.6	-0.2	-0.2	0	-0.3	-0.3	-0.1	0.2	0	-0.1
.		KDH	-0.5	-0.6	-1.3	-1.1	-1	-0.9	-0.6	-0.7	-0.5	-0.8	-0.5	-0.2	0.1	0.5	0.6	0.6	1	0.9	0.7
.		KSS	-0.4	-0.6	-0.9	-1.2	-1.4	-1.3	-1.1	-1.1	-0.8	-0.8	-0.8	-0.4	-0.1	0.1	0.2	0.1	0	0	0
.		SF	0.4	0	-0.5	-1	-1.6	-2.1	-2.4	-2.5	-2.1	-1.8	-1.5	-1.1	-0.9	-0.9	-0.6	-0.6	-0.4	-0.3	-0.2
.		HZD	-0.4	-0.5	-0.6	-0.7	-0.8	-0.5	-0.4	-0.5	-0.3	-0.2	-0.2	-0.2	0	0	0	0.1	0.1	0	0
.	Potential Coalition Support (based on past, present and theoretical "thematic" blocs)
.	Preferences		16-Jun-2006	1-Jul-2006	1-Aug-2006	1-Sep-2006	2-Oct-2006	2-Nov-2006	3-Dec-2006	3-Jan-2007	3-Feb-2007	6-Mar-2007	6-Apr-2007	7-May-2007	7-Jun-2007	8-Jul-2007	8-Aug-2007	8-Sep-2007	9-Oct-2007	9-Nov-2007	10-Dec-2007
.		2006 Coalition (Smer+HZDS+SNS)	49.7	56.6	63.2	59.5	60.2	58.8	59.6	69.1	62.6	60.9	61.8	61.6	60.4	65	62.2	64.5	60	59.2	59.7
.		2002 Coalition (SDKU+KDH+SMK+ANO+SF)	43.2	39.7	34.3	36.6	35.5	34.8	35.4	28	32.6	35.5	34.1	33.7	34.5	31.5	32.4	32.3	35.5	35.7	34.9
.			6/16/2006	7/1/2006	8/1/2006	9/1/2006	10/2/2006	11/2/2006	12/3/2006	1/3/2007	2/3/2007	3/6/2007	4/6/2007	5/7/2007	6/7/2007	7/8/2007	8/8/2007	9/8/2007	10/9/2007	11/9/2007	12/10/2007
.		Left (Smer+KSS)	33	36.3	42.7	39.6	41.3	42.4	41.1	49.6	44.3	42	42.4	44.4	40.1	44.8	43.6	40.6	39.6	40.4	43
.		Slovak National (SNS+HZDS+HZD)	21.2	24.2	22.7	23.6	22.3	21.3	23.2	22	22.7	22.4	23	21.5	24.5	23.5	21.9	27.1	24.4	23.6	20.9
.		Right (SDKU+KDH+SF+ANO)	31.6	28.8	23.6	26.4	25	23.5	25.4	18.9	22.2	25.7	24.4	24.8	25.5	22.8	22	22.8	26.5	26.6	25.2
.		Hungarian National (SMK)	11.7	10.9	10.7	10.3	10.5	11.3	10	9.1	10.4	9.8	9.7	9	9	8.7	10.4	9.5	9	9.1	9.7
.
.


.	Seats		16-Jun-2006	1-Jul-2006	1-Aug-2006	1-Sep-2006	2-Oct-2006	2-Nov-2006	3-Dec-2006	3-Jan-2007	3-Feb-2007	6-Mar-2007	6-Apr-2007	7-May-2007	7-Jun-2007	8-Jul-2007	8-Aug-2007	8-Sep-2007	9-Oct-2007	9-Nov-2007	10-Dec-2007
.		2006 Coalition (Smer+HZDS+SNS)	85	92	100	98	98	97	97	108	101	98	99	99	98	101	101	101	96	96	97
.		2002 Coalition (SDKU+KDH+SMK+ANO+SF)	65	58	50	52	52	53	53	42	49	52	51	51	52	49	49	49	54	54	53
.		Left (Smer+KSS)	50	55	66	61	63	65	62	75	67	64	64	66	61	67	67	61	59	60	65
.		Slovak National (SNS+HZDS+HZD)	35	37	34	37	35	32	35	33	34	34	35	33	37	34	34	40	37	36	32
.		Right (SDKU+KDH+SF+ANO)	45	40	33	35	35	34	37	28	32	37	35	36	38	35	32	34	39	40	37
.		Hungarian National (SMK)	20	18	17	17	17	19	16	14	17	15	16	15	14	14	17	15	15	14	16
.	Variance Among Surveys (magnitude of difference between multiple surveys' measure for the same party in the same month
.			1-Dec-2003	1-Jan-2004	1-Feb-2004	1-Mar-2004	1-Apr-2004	1-May-2004	1-Jun-2004	1-Jul-2004	1-Aug-2004	1-Sep-2004	1-Oct-2004	1-Nov-2004	1-Dec-2004	1-Jan-2005	1-Feb-2005	1-Mar-2005	1-Apr-2005	1-May-2005	1-May-2005
.		Smer	0%	6%	0%	8%	8%	7%	11%	0%	13%	14%	8%	2%	8%	0%	4%	0%	9%	14%	11%
.		SDKU	0%	9%	0%	13%	13%	3%	16%	0%	14%	9%	17%	19%	22%	0%	22%	0%	3%	3%	10%
.		SNS	0%	8%	0%	6%	3%	10%	5%	0%	6%	8%	9%	1%	4%	0%	10%	0%	9%	10%	4%
.		SMK	0%	14%	0%	2%	13%	2%	8%	0%	6%	7%	8%	14%	11%	0%	3%	0%	20%	4%	14%
.		HZDS	0%	12%	0%	19%	16%	12%	11%	0%	6%	14%	6%	19%	8%	0%	16%	0%	11%	8%	11%
.		KDH	0%	13%	0%	1%	4%	2%	4%	0%	7%	12%	1%	2%	5%	0%	12%	0%	5%	1%	3%
.		KSS	0%	17%	0%	51%	39%	8%	33%	0%	36%	36%	47%	10%	27%	0%	2%	0%	19%	25%	22%
.		SF	0%	0%	0%	15%	16%	30%	16%	0%	8%	63%	75%	31%	60%	0%	0%	0%	52%	22%	29%
.
.	Individua Polls
.		Source: UVVM


.	Notes		7/1/2010	8/1/2010	9/1/2011	10/1/2009	11/1/2009	12/1/2008	January 1.-9.	February 1.-9.	March 1.-9.	April 1.-9.	May 1.-10.	June 1.-9.	July 1.-9.	August 1.-9.	September 1.-10.	Oct. 1.-8.	Nov. 1.-9.	Dec. 1.-9.
.	Dates																	11.4	11.6
.	Smer	29.1	35.6	41.5	39.8	43.7	41.9	42.4	47.7	46.7	45.3	42.9	41.6	40.7	43	42.8	39.1	40.1	42.1	45.2
.	SDKU	18.4	15.2	13	11.8	11.1	12.8	11.8	10.7	10.5	13.6	11	12	11.3	11.3	10	12.3	14.5	15.6	13.5
.	SNS	11.7	12.5	11.3	11.9	11.8	9.5	10.6	11.8	10.6	11	13.1	12	12.8	12.4	12.9	13.1	11.4	11.6	11.2
.	SMK	11.7	9.4	10.7	10.5	9.7	11.5	9.2	9.1	9.8	9.1	10.4	10.2	10	8.7	10	9.5	7.2	8.7	7.6
.	HZDS	8.8	10.5	10.4	11.8	11.1	10	11.4	9.6	10.4	10.4	10.4	10.4	10.1	9.6	10.7	12.3	11.9	8.6	9.3
.	KDH	8.3	8.3	7.3	8.3	8.3	7.8	8.8	7.3	6.9	7	8.9	7.8	9.6	11	8.8	9.6	9.8	8.6	8.4
.	KSS	3.9	2.2	1.2	1.3	1.2	2.8	2	1.9	1.8	1.4	1.3	3.1	1.8	1.8	2.3	1.5	2.3	2.5	2
.	SF	3.5	3.2	2.4	2.5	1.7	1.6	1.9	0.5	1.7	0.6	0.4	1	0.4	0.4	1	0.5	0.8	0.9	1.1
.	HZD	0.6	1.2	1	1.2	0.8	1.6	1.1	0.6	1.2	0.9	0.7	1	1.5	1.5	0.9	1.7	0.8	0.8	1
.	ANO	1.4	1.8	0.9	0.6	0.3	0.3	0.5	0.4	0.2	0.6	0.4	0.5	0.1	0.1	0.4	0.4	0.1	0.3	0
.	Other	2.6	0.1	0.3	0.3	0.3	0.2	0.3	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.5	0.4	0	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.3	0.3	0.7
.	Will not vote												17.5	15.2	17.1	17.7	19.7	19.3	17	19
.	Do not know												10.5	13.8	11	11.3	12.9	12.9	14.6	13.4
.	Not sympathize with any		22.9	25.6	26.7	26.8	28.3	25.7	27.5	27.7	27.7	25.2
.
.	Source: FOCUS
.	Notes		7/4/2011		??? September	10/4/2010	11/1/2008	November 29-December 12		January 31.-February 6.	March 7.-13.	April 3.-10.	May 2.-9.	June 6.-12				Oct. 2.-9.	Oct. 30.-Nov. 6	Dec. 1.-5.
.	Dates																	13.7	14.2


.		Smer		31.6		34	36.8	36.7	33.7		36.3	34.3	36.9	40.3	34.6				33.3	31.9	33.2
.		SDKU		18.3		15.2	14.6	13.6	16.4		13.8	16.4	15.4	17.5	17.7				15.5	16.6	16.4
.		SNS		14.8		13.4	12.8	11.7	11.8		12	12.8	10.9	11.8	14				13.7	14.2	12.4
.		SMK		12.4		10	9.3	11.1	10.8		11	10.4	8.9	7.7	8				10.8	9.5	10.7
.		HZDS		8.2		8.1	8.5	7.8	9.2		9.2	7.9	9.3	7.1	8.6				9.5	10	8
.		KDH		6.4		8.4	8.1	7.5	8.1		8	8.9	9	7.5	8.6				8.9	8.5	9.2
.		KSS		3.1		4	3.8	3.3	4		3.8	3	3.6	3.8	3.1				3.4	4.2	3.9
.		SF		3.2		3.4	2.5	3	2.6		2	2.6	2.8	1.9	1.6				2.5	1.4	2
.		HZD				0.7	1.2	2	2.2		1.9	1.8	1.6	0.6	2				1.5	2	1.5
.		ANO		1.2		2.5	1.7	1,8	0.6		1.3	1.7	0.9	1.3	1.7				0.8	1.3	1.5
.		Other		0.9		0.3	0.7	3.3	0.6		0.6	0.2	0.7	0.5	0.3				0.1	0.5	1.1
.		Will not vote		22.1			22.7	19.4	20		22.2	19.9	21.5	22.3	21.2				18.7	19.7	21.7
.		Do not know		16.1			16.2	14.7	13.1		17.6	17.8	18.6	16.5	17.6				22.1	20.2	20.2
.
.	Vote Share for Graph		6/16/2006	7/1/2006	8/1/2006	9/1/2006	10/2/2006	11/2/2006	12/3/2006	1/3/2007	2/3/2007	3/6/2007	4/6/2007	5/7/2007	6/7/2007	7/8/2007	8/8/2007	9/8/2007	10/9/2007	11/9/2007	12/10/2007
.		KDH	8.3	7.4	7.3	8.4	8	7.7	8.5	7.3	7.5	8	9	7.7	9.1	11	7.9	9.6	9.4	8.6	8.8
.		SMK	11.7	10.9	10.7	10.3	10.5	11.3	10	9.1	10.4	9.8	9.7	9	9	8.7	10.4	9.5	9	9.1	9.7
.		Smer	29.1	33.6	41.5	36.9	38.9	39.3	38.1	47.7	41.5	39.8	39.9	41	37.7	43	41.3	39.1	36.7	37	40
.		SNS	11.7	13.7	11.3	12.7	12.4	10.6	11.2	11.8	11.3	11.9	12	11.9	13.4	12.4	11.7	13.1	12.6	12.9	11.7
.		HZDS	8.8	9.4	10.4	10	8.9	8.9	10.3	9.6	9.8	9.2	9.9	8.8	9.4	9.6	9.3	12.3	10.7	9.3	8


.		SDKU	18.4	16.8	13	13.5	13.7	13.2	14.1	10.7	12.2	15	13.2	14.8	14.5	11.3	12.8	12.3	15	16.1	14.3
.		SF	3.5	3.2	2.4	3	2.2	2.3	2.3	0.5	1.9	1.6	1.6	1.5	1	0.4	1	0.5	1.7	1.2	1.4
.		HZD	0.6	1.2	1	1	1	1.8	1.7	0.6	1.6	1.4	1.2	0.8	1.8	1.5	0.9	1.7	1.2	1.4	1.2
.		KSS	3.9	2.7	1.2	2.7	2.4	3.1	3	1.9	2.8	2.2	2.5	3.5	2.5	1.8	2.4	1.5	2.9	3.4	2.9
.		ANO	1.4	1.5	0.9	1.6	1	0.3	0.6	0.4	0.8	1.2	0.7	0.9	0.9	0.1	0.4	0.4	0.5	0.8	0.7
.																				15
.	Seat Share for Graph		6/16/2006	7/1/2006	8/1/2006	9/1/2006	10/2/2006	11/2/2006	12/3/2006	1/3/2007	2/3/2007	3/6/2007	4/6/2007	5/7/2007	6/7/2007	7/8/2007	8/8/2007	9/8/2007	10/9/2007	11/9/2007	12/10/2007
.		SNS	20	22	18	21	20	17	18	18	18	19	19	19	22	19	19	21	20	21	19
.		HZDS	15	15	16	16	15	15	17	15	16	15	16	14	15	15	15	19	17	15	13
.		HZD	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
.		KSS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
.		Smer	50	55	66	61	63	65	62	75	67	64	64	66	61	67	67	61	59	60	65
.		SF	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
.		ANO	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
.		KDH	14	12	12	13	13	12	14	11	12	13	14	12	15	17	12	15	15	14	14
.		SDKU	31	28	21	22	22	22	23	17	20	24	21	24	23	18	20	19	24	26	23
.		SMK	20	18	17	17	17	19	16	14	17	15	16	15	14	14	17	15	15	14	16