| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | . | Analysis By: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | . | Silicon Alley Insider | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | . | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | . | INCOME STATEMENT | Mar 05 | Jun 05 | Sep 05 | Dec 05 | Mar 06 | Jun 06 | Sep 06 | Dec 06 | Mar 07 | Jun 07 | Sep-07 | Dec 07 | Mar 08E | | FY 2005 | FY 2006 | FY 2007 | FY 2008E | FY 2009E | | | | . | Revenues | $9,434 | $9,231 | $9,960 | $10,201 | $8,940 | $8,009 | $8,739 | $9,694 | $8,852 | $8,680 | $10,090 | $10,712 | $9,673 | | $38,826 | $35,382 | $38,334 | $39,770 | $42,677 | | | | . | Y/Y Change | | | | | -5% | -13% | -12% | -5% | -1% | 8% | 15% | 11% | 9% | | | -9% | 8% | 4% | 7% | | | | . | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | . | Cost of Revenue | $3,836 | $4,028 | $4,012 | $3,901 | $3,997 | $3,838 | $4,445 | $4,884 | $4,420 | $4,605 | $4,806 | $4,486 | $4,466 | | $15,777 | $17,164 | $18,317 | $19,090 | $20,485 | | | | . | Margin | 41% | 44% | 40% | 38% | 45% | 48% | 51% | 50% | 50% | 53% | 48% | 42% | 46% | | 41% | 49% | 48% | 48% | 48% | | | | . | Gross Profit | $5,598 | $5,203 | $5,948 | $6,300 | $4,943 | $4,171 | $4,294 | $4,810 | $4,432 | $4,075 | $5,284 | $6,226 | $5,207 | | $23,049 | $18,218 | $20,017 | $20,680 | $22,192 | | | | . | Margin | 59% | 56% | 60% | 62% | 55% | 52% | 49% | 50% | 50% | 47% | 52% | 58% | 54% | | 59% | 51% | 52% | 52% | 52% | | | | . | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | . | R&D | $1,266 | $1,176 | $1,341 | $1,362 | $1,562 | $1,496 | $1,389 | $1,426 | $1,400 | $1,353 | $1,526 | $1,481 | $1,467 | | $5,145 | $5,873 | $5,760 | $5,966 | $6,402 | | | | . | Margin | 13% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 17% | 19% | 16% | 15% | 16% | 16% | 15% | 14% | 15% | | 13% | 17% | 15% | 15% | 15% | | | | . | Marketing, General & Administrative | $1,262 | $1,342 | $1,478 | $1,606 | $1,644 | $1,593 | $1,425 | $1,434 | $1,277 | $1,284 | $1,383 | $1,462 | $1,349 | | $5,688 | $6,096 | $5,406 | $5,568 | $6,402 | | | | . | Margin | 13% | 15% | 15% | 16% | 18% | 20% | 16% | 15% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 14% | 14% | | 15% | 17% | 14% | 14% | 15% | | | | . | Amortization & Other Intangible Costs | $38 | $36 | $29 | $23 | $19 | $10 | $106 | $462 | $80 | $88 | $128 | $236 | $329 | | $126 | $597 | $532 | $398 | $427 | | | | . | Margin | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | | 0% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | | | | . | Operating Income | $3,032 | $2,649 | $3,100 | $3,309 | $1,718 | $1,072 | $1,374 | $1,488 | $1,675 | $1,350 | $2,247 | $3,047 | $2,062 | | $12,090 | $5,652 | $8,319 | $8,749 | $8,962 | | | | . | Margin | 32% | 29% | 31% | 32% | 19% | 13% | 16% | 15% | 19% | 16% | 22% | 28% | 21% | | 31% | 16% | 22% | 22% | 21% | | | |
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| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | . | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | . | Investment Income & Other | $119 | $105 | $143 | $153 | $156 | $181 | $440 | $639 | $198 | $179 | $359 | $214 | $109 | | $520 | $1,416 | $950 | $800 | $900 | | | | . | Pre-Tax Income | $3,151 | $2,754 | $3,243 | $3,462 | $1,874 | $1,253 | $1,814 | $2,127 | $1,873 | $1,529 | $2,606 | $3,261 | $2,171 | | $12,610 | $7,068 | $9,269 | $9,549 | $9,862 | | | | . | Margin | 33% | 30% | 33% | 34% | 21% | 16% | 21% | 22% | 21% | 18% | 26% | 30% | 22% | | 32% | 20% | 24% | 24% | 23% | | | | . | Provision for income taxes | $973 | $716 | $1,248 | $1,009 | $517 | $368 | $513 | $626 | $263 | $251 | $746 | $990 | $728 | | $3,946 | $2,024 | $2,250 | $2,101 | $2,170 | | | | . | % of EBT | 31% | 26% | 38% | 29% | 28% | 29% | 28% | 29% | 14% | 16% | 29% | 30% | 34% | | 31% | 29% | 24% | 22% | 22% | | | | . | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | . | Net Income | $2,178 | $2,038 | $1,995 | $2,453 | $1,357 | $885 | $1,301 | $1,501 | $1,610 | $1,278 | $1,860 | $2,271 | $1,443 | | $8,664 | $5,044 | $7,019 | $7,449 | $7,692 | | | | . | Margin | 23.09% | 22.08% | 20.03% | 24.05% | 15.18% | 11.05% | 14.89% | 15.48% | 18.19% | 14.72% | 18.43% | 21.20% | 14.92% | | 22% | 14% | 18% | 19% | 18% | | | | . | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | . | EPS (Diluted) | $0.35 | $0.33 | $0.32 | $0.40 | $0.23 | $0.15 | $0.22 | $0.26 | $0.27 | $0.22 | $0.31 | $0.38 | $0.25 | | $1.40 | $0.86 | $1.18 | $1.24 | $1.27 | | | | . | Y/Y Change | | | | | -34% | -54% | -31% | -37% | 20% | 43% | 40% | 48% | -10% | | | | | | | | | | . | Shares Out (Diluted) | 6,273 | 6,215 | 6,144 | 6,081 | 5,954 | 5,868 | 5,832 | 5,867 | 5,874 | 5,917 | 5,967 | 5,988 | 5,879 | | 6,178 | 5,880 | 5,939 | 5,998 | 6,058 | | | | . | Y/Y Change | | | | | -5% | -6% | -5% | -4% | -1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 0% | | | -5% | 1% | 1% | 1% | | | | . | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | . | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | . | PRODUCT SUMMARY | Mar 05 | Jun 05 | Sep 05 | Dec 05 | Mar 06 | Jun 06 | Sep 06 | Dec 06 | Mar 07 | Jun 07 | Sep 07 | Dec 07 | Mar 08E | | 2005 | 2006 | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | | | | . | Digital Enterprise Group | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | . | Microprocessor Revenue | $4,944 | $4,603 | $4,936 | $4,929 | $3,892 | $3,338 | $3,521 | $3,855 | $3,561 | $3,465 | $3,880 | $4,328 | $4,123 | | $19,412 | $14,606 | $15,234 | $15,386 | $15,848 | | | | . | Y/Y Change | | | | | -21% | -27% | -29% | -22% | -9% | 4% | 10% | 12% | 16% | | | -25% | 4% | 1% | 3% | | | |
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| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | . | % of Total | 52% | 50% | 50% | 48% | 44% | 42% | 40% | 40% | 40% | 40% | 38% | 40% | 43% | | 50% | 41% | 40% | 39% | 37% | | | | . | Chipset, Motherboard & Other | $1,417 | $1,398 | $1,434 | $1,476 | $1,255 | $1,283 | $1,425 | $1,307 | $1,193 | $1,178 | $1,324 | $1,411 | $1,175 | | $5,725 | $5,270 | $5,106 | $4,391 | $4,040 | | | | . | Y/Y Change | | | | | -11% | -8% | -1% | -11% | -5% | -8% | -7% | 8% | -2% | | | -8% | -3% | -14% | -8% | | | | . | % of Total | 15% | 15% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 16% | 16% | 13% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 13% | 12% | | 15% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 9% | | | | . | Total | $6,361 | $6,001 | $6,370 | $6,405 | $5,147 | $4,621 | $4,946 | $5,162 | $4,754 | $4,643 | $5,204 | $5,739 | $5,298 | | $25,137 | $19,876 | $20,340 | $19,778 | $19,888 | | | | . | Y/Y Change | | | | | -19% | -23% | -22% | -19% | -8% | 0% | 5% | 11% | 11% | | | -21% | 2% | -3% | 10% | | | | . | % of Total | 67% | 65% | 64% | 63% | 58% | 58% | 57% | 53% | 54% | 53% | 52% | 54% | 55% | | 65% | 56% | 53% | 50% | 47% | | | | . | Mobility Group | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | . | Microprocessor Revenue | $1,917 | $2,056 | $2,331 | $2,400 | $2,347 | $1,958 | $2,239 | $2,668 | $2,441 | $2,398 | $2,832 | $2,989 | $2,726 | | $8,704 | $9,212 | $10,660 | $11,619 | $13,014 | | | | . | Y/Y Change | | | | | 22% | -5% | -4% | 11% | 4% | 22% | 26% | 12% | 12% | | | 6% | 16% | 9% | 12% | | | | . | % of Total | 20% | 22% | 23% | 24% | 26% | 24% | 26% | 28% | 28% | 28% | 28% | 28% | 28% | | 22% | 26% | 28% | 29% | 30% | | | | . | Chipset, Motherboard & Other | $517 | $566 | $639 | $705 | $632 | $731 | $809 | $925 | $866 | $898 | $1,139 | $1,118 | $943 | | $2,427 | $3,097 | $4,021 | $4,865 | $5,984 | | | | . | Y/Y Change | | | | | 22% | 29% | 27% | 31% | 37% | 23% | 41% | 21% | 9% | | | 28% | 30% | 21% | 23% | | | | . | % of Total | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 10% | | 6% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 14% | | | | . | Total | $2,434 | $2,622 | $2,970 | $3,105 | $2,979 | $2,689 | $3,048 | $3,593 | $3,307 | $3,296 | $3,971 | $4,107 | $3,669 | | $11,131 | $12,309 | $14,681 | $16,485 | $18,998 | | | | . | Y/Y Change | | | | | 22% | 3% | 3% | 16% | 11% | 23% | 30% | 14% | 11% | | | 11% | 19% | 12% | 15% | | | | . | % of Total | 26% | 28% | 30% | 30% | 33% | 34% | 35% | 37% | 37% | 38% | 39% | 38% | 38% | | 29% | 35% | 38% | 41% | 45% | | | | . | Flash Memory Group | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | . | Revenue | $578 | $527 | $573 | $600 | $544 | $536 | $507 | $576 | $469 | $494 | $553 | $0 | $0 | | $2,278 | $2,163 | $1,516 | $1,531 | $1,577 | | | | . | Y/Y Change | | | | | -6% | 2% | -12% | -4% | -14% | -8% | 9% | NA | NA | | | -5% | -30% | 1% | 3% | | | |
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| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | . | % of Total | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 0% | 0% | | 6% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 4% | | | | . | All Other | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | . | Revenue | $61 | $81 | $47 | $91 | $270 | $163 | $238 | $363 | $322 | $247 | $362 | $866 | $706 | | $280 | $1,034 | $1,797 | $1,977 | $2,214 | | | | . | Y/Y Change | | | | | 343% | 101% | 406% | 299% | 19% | 52% | 52% | 139% | 119% | | | 269% | 74% | 10% | 12% | | | | . | % of Total | 1% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 8% | 7% | | 1% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 5% | | | | . | TOTAL REVENUE | $9,434 | $9,231 | $9,960 | $10,201 | $8,940 | $8,009 | $8,739 | $9,694 | $8,852 | $8,680 | $10,090 | $10,712 | $9,673 | | $38,826 | $35,382 | $38,334 | $39,770 | $42,677 | | | | . | Y/Y Change | | | | | -5% | -13% | -12% | -5% | -1% | 8% | 15% | 11% | 9% | | | -9% | 8% | 4% | 7% | | | | . | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | . | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | . | CAP EX | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | . | Capital Expenditures | $1,788 | $1,403 | $1,282 | $1,398 | $1,767 | $1,757 | $1,188 | $1,148 | $1,361 | $1,278 | $1,088 | $1,273 | | | | | | | | | | | . | Y/Y Change | | | | | | 25% | -7% | -18% | -23% | -27% | -8% | 11% | | | | | | | | | | | . | % of Revenue | 19% | 15% | 13% | 14% | 20% | 22% | 14% | 12% | 15% | 15% | 11% | 12% | | | | | | | | | | | . | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | . | BALANCE SHEET | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | . | Cash, Equivalents + Marketable Secs. | $13,673 | $12,600 | $11,951 | $11,314 | $7,854 | $6,421 | $7,123 | $8,868 | $7,689 | $8,926 | $10,796 | $7,307 | | | | | | | | | | | . | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | . | Inventory | $2,808 | $2,739 | $2,815 | $3,126 | $3,567 | $4,332 | $4,477 | $4,314 | $4,366 | $4,127 | $3,538 | $3,370 | | | | | | | | | | | . | Y/Y Change | | | | | | 58% | 59% | 38% | 22% | -5% | -21% | -22% | | | | | | | | | | | . | % of Revenue | 30% | 30% | 28% | 31% | 40% | 54% | 51% | 45% | 49% | 48% | 35% | 31% | | | | | | | | | | |
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| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | . | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | . | Debt (Current + Long-Term) | $686 | $748 | $684 | $2,419 | $2,264 | $2,341 | $2,256 | $2,028 | $1,987 | $2,069 | $1,990 | $1,980 | | | | | | | | | | | . | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | . | VALUATION | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | . | Price | $19.65 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | . | Shares Outstanding (Diluted) | 5,967 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | . | MARKET CAPITALIZATION | $117,252 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | . | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | . | Market Capitalization | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | . | + Debt | $1,990 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | . | - Cash | $10,796 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | . | ENTERPRISE VALUE | $108,446 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | . | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | . | VALUATION RATIOS | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | . | P/E: | EPS | P/E | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | . | CY 2007E | $1.18 | 17 | x | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | . | CY 2008E | $1.24 | 16 | x | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | . | CY 2009E | $1.27 | 15 | x | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | . | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | . | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
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