| | | | . | Opponent | Mean win probability | Standard deviation | . | Nevada | 83.9% | 13.2% | . | Michigan | 71.6% | 14.5% | . | Michigan State | 64.1% | 16.6% | . | Purdue | 84.3% | 12.4% | . | Washington | 93.1% | 9.2% | . | USC | 39.4% | 18.8% | . | Boston College | 64.3% | 17.0% | . | Washington State | 91.9% | 10.6% | . | Navy | 91.3% | 11.3% | . | Pittsburgh | 71.0% | 15.1% | . | Connecticut | 84.0% | 13.0% | . | Stanford | 73.9% | 14.5% |
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